As mid-term season ramps up, important primary races are underway in Texas and Illinois. The midterm elections will potentially reshape the U.S. Congress, making it critical to understand how important the outcomes are for Israel and its powerful slate of U.S. lobbying groups.
“We expect to be involved in dozens of races both in primaries and general elections this cycle,” said Patrick Dorton, a spokesman for AIPAC’s affiliated super PAC, the United Democracy Project (UDP).
According to Track AIPAC, there are currently only 21 members of U.S. Congress who have never accepted money from the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC, the largest pro-Israel PAC in the US) or other pro-Israel lobby groups. The remaining 514 sitting members have all accepted varying amounts of fundraising money from pro-Israel lobbyists.
With the Illinois primary just two days away, AIPAC has spent more than $1.9 million on ads to replace retiring Rep. Danny Davis with Melissa Conyears-Ervin, the city treasurer of Chicago. She faces over a dozen other candidates in the upcoming primary. And IL Sen. Dick Durbin is retiring after more than 30 years in office, with three top Democratic candidates vying for his seat.
Durbin received more than $2.7 million in pro-Israel donations over his decades in office. Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, who accepted more than $1.7 million in pro-Israel donations, is vying for his seat along with Rep. Robin Kelly, the recipient of just over $368,000 from Israeli lobbies and Lt. Governor Juliana Stratton, who has received just over $248,000.
U.S. Democratic Reps. Jan Schakowsky and Jesus “Chuy” Garcia are also retiring. Schakowsky has received more than $2.5 billion from Israeli lobbyists while Garcia hasn’t received any and rejects AIPAC. Dozens of Democrats are vying for those seats, with AIPAC playing an increasingly bigger role in candidates’ platforms.
Schakowsky, once a staunch supporter of Israel, has increasingly become critical of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the war in Gaza and recently withdrew her support of Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller to succeed her. Miller has pulled in more than $3.3 million in AIPAC-related donations. “Illinois deserves leaders who put voters first, not AIPAC or out-of-state Trump donors,” said Schakowsky. She endorsed Evanston Mayor Daniel Bliss instead, who has received just over $288,000 in pro-Israel funding.
The Texas Senate primaries have yielded tight races for Democrats and Republicans alike, with AIPAC once again playing a key role. James Talarico, who received just over $23,000 from pro-Israel interests, will face an as yet to be determined Republican challenger. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, who has accepted more than $2 million from AIPAC and other Israeli interests, is being challenged by Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, who received just over $53,000 from Israeli lobbyists.
The Republican primary was so close that the two candidates will face a runoff on May 26. Paxton’s success puts President Donald Trump in a sticky position. Trump himself has received more than $230 million from Israeli groups and it was expected he would endorse Israel’s candidate, Cornyn. But Paxton has gained traction within the MAGA movement, and Trump risks alienating his voters by endorsing Cornyn. Talarico’s popularity has been rising with some predicting he may turn one of Texas’s Senate seats blue for the first time in 33 years.
AIPAC and its offshoots began to ramp up spending during the 2022 midterms, shelling out more than $221 million between December of 2021 and January of 2026.
Their strategy has not always paid off though, as was the case in the recent Democratic primary special election in New Jersey. Israeli lobbyists spent more than $378,000 pushing former Rep. Tom Malinowski for a House seat. He was defeated by progressive candidate Analilia Mejia, who has been openly critical of Israel.
To learn if your U.S. representatives better reflect your interests or Israel’s, check Track AIPAC.
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Right — have been messing about with this thing for about four months now and it’s stuck on my phone, so thought I’d say something since someone asked me last week. I’m based in the UK, generally bet football and racing, a fiver here and there, just so you know where I’m coming from.
What got me on it was actually a bit daft — I could never get my head round what an each way payout actually was when the place terms changed. Basically I’d eyeball it and get a shock. Now type the odds in before every slip, even the boring singles.
The single bet calculator is the one I use most — type in your stake, the odds and it shows returns instantly, fractions or decimals. There’s also the multiples — doubles and trebles maths, lucky 15s, yankees, honestly that’s where I always mess it up. If you want a look, it’s over at how to calculate each way bet — free, no signup.
One thing that actually shifted things for me were the more serious tools. There’s an odds-to-probability calculator which shows you what margin’s baked in, plus a kelly tool — I run quarter kelly because full kelly is terrifying. The dutch tool is decent when I’m covering two or three runners.
Not all sunshine though. Its design feels a bit basic — zero polish, it’s clearly function over form. On my phone it works but the bigger tables need a bit of scrolling. And no app, it’s browser only — slight shame but you asked.
Right, that’s me. Doesn’t cost anything, no ads shoved in your face, does the job. If you even now does the maths on paper, give it a go — saved me a fair few dumb bets I’d have regretted.
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Right — been using this thing for about five months now and it’s basically bookmarked at this point, so thought I’d say something since a mate asked me the other day. Am UK based, generally bet football and racing, small stakes, just so you know where I’m coming from.
How I found it was honestly embarrassing — I could never figure out what an each way return actually came to with 1/5 odds a place. I’d just guess and then be surprised. Now type the odds in before every slip, even a straight one-selection punt.
The single bet calculator tool is the part I use most — type in the price and your stake and it shows profit and total return with no faffing, fractions or decimals. Same tool covers the multiples — doubles and trebles returns, lucky 15s, a yankee, which is where I always got it wrong. Have a go yourself, it lives at spread betting calculator and it’s free with no account nonsense.
One thing that actually shifted things for me was the geekier bits. They’ve got an implied probability thing and it makes obvious what margin’s baked in, plus a kelly criterion calculator — I use half kelly since full stakes are a quick route to a dead bankroll. The dutch tool is decent for when I’m splitting a race.
Not all sunshine though. The interface feels very functional, let’s say — zero polish, looks like it was built by someone who cares more about maths than colours. On my phone it’s usable but the acca grid are a squeeze. There’s nothing on the app store, just the site — fine by me but you asked.
Right, that’s me. Costs nowt, no ads shoved in your face, does what it says. If anyone honestly works out returns on a calculator app, try it — saves me a fair few arguments with the bookie.
Useful reading material, the kind I can hand off to someone newer to the topic without worrying about confusing them, and a quick look at pelix confirmed the same beginner friendly tone runs throughout the site which is great for sharing with people just starting their learning journey on this particular topic.
Started reading and ended an hour later without realising the time had passed, and a look at kazhanmaster produced the same time dilation effect, when content makes time feel different the writer has achieved something well beyond the average and this site is producing that experience for me reliably across multiple readings.
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So — been on this thing for maybe five months now and it’s basically bookmarked at this point, so thought I’d say something since someone asked me a few days back. I’m based in the UK, generally stick to footie and the horses, nothing mad, so take it how you like.
What got me on it was honestly a bit daft — I couldn’t ever get my head round what an ew return would be once you get five places instead of three. Basically I’d guess and get a shock. Now I type the odds in first, every time, even a simple single bet.
The single bet calculator is the part I use most — you drop in stake and odds and it shows returns straight away, either odds format. There’s also the bigger stuff — doubles and trebles maths, a lucky 15, a yankee, which is where I always mess it up. If you fancy a poke about, it lives at margin calculator pinnacle and there’s no login wall, which I appreciated.
One thing that actually shifted things for me was the geekier extras. They’ve got an odds-to-probability converter that shows what margin’s baked in, and a kelly criterion calculator — I stick to fractional kelly since full stakes are a quick route to a dead bankroll. Dutching calculator is handy too for when I’m covering two or three runners.
It’s not perfect mind. The layout feels a bit basic — zero frills, which honestly I don’t mind but some will. On my phone it’s usable although the bigger tables are a squeeze. Also there’s no app, it’s browser only — doesn’t bother me but you asked.
Anyway. Doesn’t cost anything, not plastered in adverts, does what it says. If anyone even now does the maths on paper, try it — saves me a load of “wait, that’s it?” moments.
Now realising this site has been quietly doing good work for longer than I knew, and a look at ulvirocore suggested an archive worth exploring, sites with deep archives of consistent quality represent a different kind of resource than sites with viral hits and this one looks like the durable kind based on what I see.
Over the course of reading several posts here a pattern of quality has emerged, and a stop at zavirotrustco confirmed the pattern, the difference between sites that hit quality occasionally and sites that hit it consistently is huge and this site has clearly demonstrated the consistent kind through what I have read this morning.
Reading this prompted me to clean up some old notes related to the topic, and a stop at maverotrustline extended that organising urge, content that triggers personal organisation rather than just consuming attention is content with motivating energy and this site has the kind of clarity that prompts active follow up rather than passive consumption.
Reading this slowly because the writing rewards a slower pace, and a stop at dondatheverge did the same, the pace at which I read content is something I now use as a quality signal and writing that earns a slower pace earns my attention as a reader looking for substance these days.
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Now feeling confident enough in this site to use it as a reference point for evaluating others on the same topic, and a look at samsungfoundryforum continued the comparison friendly quality, sites that serve as quality benchmarks for their topic are precious and this one has clearly become a benchmark for me on this particular subject area.
Generally I am cautious about recommending sites on first encounter but this one warrants the exception, and a look at ThirtyMale reinforced the exception making, the rare site that justifies breaking my normal cautious approach is the rare site worth flagging early and this one has prompted exactly that early flagging response from me.
Reading this gave me a small jolt of recognition for an experience I thought was just mine, and a stop at feb-en produced more such jolts, content that universalises private experiences without flattening them is doing genuinely useful work and this site is providing that recognition function for me reliably across topics I read.
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Appreciate the thoughtful approach, the writer clearly took time to make this readable for someone who is not already an expert, and a look at banehmagic kept that going nicely, easy on the eyes and easy on the brain which is always a winning combination when reading on a busy day.
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Now sitting back and recognising that this was a small but real win in my reading day, and a stop at xelariounion extended that quiet win, the cumulative effect of small reading wins versus the cumulative effect of small reading losses is real over time and this site is contributing to the wins side of that ledger.
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Now recognising that the post handled the topic with appropriate technical precision without becoming dry, and a stop at kavionline continued that balance, technical precision and readability are often in tension and this site has clearly figured out how to maintain both at once which is one of the harder editorial achievements in the form.
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